Colombia

Colombia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1982, ranking #6 of 244 national teams — a top-tier side and a genuine World Cup contender. At the 2026 World Cup, Colombia is drawn in Group K, facing Uzbekistan, DR Congo and Portugal. The tables below estimate Colombia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Colombia at the 2026 World Cup

Group K fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-17	Uzbekistan	71.6%	21.6%	6.8%	Mexico City (neutral)
06-23	DR Congo	77.7%	18.6%	3.7%	Guadalajara (neutral)
06-27	Portugal	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%	Miami (neutral)

Colombia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	16.7%	26.6%	56.7%
Argentina	2115	18.3%	27.0%	54.8%
France	2063	24.4%	28.2%	47.3%
England	2024	29.6%	28.8%	41.6%
Portugal	1989	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Brazil	1978	36.1%	29.0%	34.9%
Netherlands	1944	41.0%	28.8%	30.1%
Germany	1939	41.8%	28.8%	29.5%
Norway	1914	45.4%	28.5%	26.1%
Croatia	1912	45.7%	28.4%	25.8%
Japan	1910	46.0%	28.4%	25.6%

Colombia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Colombia in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	16.7%	26.6%	56.7%
Argentina	2115	18.3%	27.0%	54.8%
France	2063	24.4%	28.2%	47.3%
England	2024	29.6%	28.8%	41.6%
Portugal	1989	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Brazil	1978	36.1%	29.0%	34.9%
Netherlands	1944	41.0%	28.8%	30.1%
Germany	1939	41.8%	28.8%	29.5%
Norway	1914	45.4%	28.5%	26.1%
Croatia	1912	45.7%	28.4%	25.8%