Brazil

Brazil holds a World Football Elo rating of 1978, ranking #7 of 244 national teams — a top-tier side and a genuine World Cup contender. At the 2026 World Cup, Brazil is drawn in Group C, facing Morocco, Haiti and Scotland. The tables below estimate Brazil's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Brazil at the 2026 World Cup

Group C fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-13	Morocco	55.5%	26.8%	17.7%	New York (neutral)
06-19	Haiti	86.2%	13.1%	0.7%	Philadelphia (neutral)
06-24	Scotland	61.6%	25.3%	13.1%	Miami (neutral)

Brazil vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	16.3%	26.4%	57.2%
Argentina	2115	17.8%	26.9%	55.3%
France	2063	23.9%	28.2%	47.9%
England	2024	29.0%	28.8%	42.2%
Portugal	1989	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Colombia	1982	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Netherlands	1944	40.4%	28.9%	30.7%
Germany	1939	41.2%	28.8%	30.0%
Norway	1914	44.8%	28.5%	26.6%
Croatia	1912	45.1%	28.5%	26.4%
Japan	1910	45.4%	28.5%	26.1%

Brazil vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Brazil in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Argentina	2115	17.8%	26.9%	55.3%
France	2063	23.9%	28.2%	47.9%
England	2024	29.0%	28.8%	42.2%
Portugal	1989	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Colombia	1982	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Netherlands	1944	40.4%	28.9%	30.7%
Germany	1939	41.2%	28.8%	30.0%
Norway	1914	44.8%	28.5%	26.6%
Croatia	1912	45.1%	28.5%	26.4%
Japan	1910	45.4%	28.5%	26.1%