Aruba

Aruba holds a World Football Elo rating of 978, ranking #189 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Aruba is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Aruba's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Aruba vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
France	2063	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
England	2024	0.1%	0.3%	99.6%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.5%	99.5%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.5%	99.4%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.6%	99.3%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.7%	99.3%
Norway	1914	0.0%	0.8%	99.1%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	0.8%	99.1%
Japan	1910	0.0%	0.8%	99.1%

Aruba vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Aruba in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Somaliland	1005	31.7%	28.9%	39.4%
Saint Lucia	1003	31.9%	28.9%	39.1%
Western Sahara	996	32.9%	29.0%	38.1%
Myanmar	984	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
Somalia	979	35.4%	29.0%	35.6%
Sint Maarten	975	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Montserrat	972	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%
Afghanistan	961	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Greenland	945	40.3%	28.9%	30.8%
Bangladesh	942	40.7%	28.8%	30.4%