Hong Kong

Hong Kong holds a World Football Elo rating of 1101, ranking #173 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Hong Kong is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Hong Kong's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Hong Kong vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
France	2063	0.1%	0.7%	99.3%
England	2024	0.0%	0.9%	99.1%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	1.2%	98.8%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	1.2%	98.8%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	1.3%	98.7%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	1.5%	98.5%
Germany	1939	0.0%	1.6%	98.4%
Norway	1914	0.0%	1.8%	98.2%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	1.9%	98.1%
Japan	1910	0.0%	1.9%	98.1%

Hong Kong vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Hong Kong in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
India	1128	31.7%	28.9%	39.4%
Vanuatu	1118	33.1%	29.0%	38.0%
Bermuda	1117	33.2%	29.0%	37.8%
South Sudan	1109	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%
Fiji	1104	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Grenada	1098	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Andorra	1080	38.5%	28.9%	32.5%
Mauritius	1073	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%
Chad	1073	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%
Belize	1073	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%