Malawi

Malawi holds a World Football Elo rating of 1239, ranking #152 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Malawi is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Malawi's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Malawi vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	1.1%	98.8%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	1.3%	98.7%
France	2063	0.0%	1.7%	98.3%
England	2024	0.0%	2.2%	97.8%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	2.6%	97.4%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	2.7%	97.3%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	2.8%	97.2%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	3.4%	96.6%
Germany	1939	0.0%	3.5%	96.5%
Norway	1914	0.0%	4.0%	96.0%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	4.1%	95.9%
Japan	1910	0.0%	4.1%	95.9%

Malawi vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Malawi in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Moldova	1270	31.1%	28.9%	40.0%
Botswana	1267	31.5%	28.9%	39.6%
Malta	1255	33.2%	29.0%	37.8%
Guinea-Bissau	1248	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Cuba	1239	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Central African Republic	1236	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
French Guiana	1223	37.8%	29.0%	33.2%
Mayotte	1216	38.8%	28.9%	32.2%
Turkmenistan	1209	39.9%	28.9%	31.2%
Congo	1207	40.2%	28.9%	31.0%