Monaco

Monaco holds a World Football Elo rating of 903, ranking #198 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Monaco is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Monaco's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Monaco vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
France	2063	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
England	2024	0.1%	0.2%	99.8%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.3%	99.7%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.3%	99.7%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.3%	99.6%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.4%	99.6%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.5%	99.5%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.5%	99.5%

Monaco vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Monaco in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Greenland	945	29.6%	28.8%	41.6%
Bangladesh	942	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Djibouti	940	30.3%	28.8%	40.9%
Dominica	934	31.1%	28.9%	40.0%
Pakistan	909	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
Barbados	898	36.2%	29.0%	34.8%
Antigua and Barbuda	895	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Liechtenstein	895	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Nepal	893	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Cambodia	871	40.2%	28.9%	31.0%