Uganda

Uganda holds a World Football Elo rating of 1394, ranking #102 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. Uganda is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Uganda's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Uganda vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	2.9%	97.1%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	3.1%	96.9%
France	2063	0.0%	4.2%	95.8%
England	2024	0.0%	5.2%	94.8%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	6.3%	93.7%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	6.6%	93.4%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	6.7%	93.3%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	8.1%	91.9%
Germany	1939	0.0%	8.3%	91.7%
Norway	1914	0.0%	9.5%	90.5%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	9.7%	90.3%
Japan	1910	0.0%	9.8%	90.2%

Uganda vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Uganda in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Libya	1420	31.8%	28.9%	39.3%
Gambia	1419	31.9%	28.9%	39.1%
Bahrain	1414	32.6%	29.0%	38.4%
Benin	1405	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Gabon	1401	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Trinidad and Tobago	1386	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Faroe Islands	1386	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Niger	1382	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%
Madagascar	1380	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
Equatorial Guinea	1380	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%