Belgium

Belgium holds a World Football Elo rating of 1879, ranking #15 of 244 national teams — a top-tier side and a genuine World Cup contender. At the 2026 World Cup, Belgium is drawn in Group G, facing Egypt, Iran and New Zealand. The tables below estimate Belgium's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Belgium at the 2026 World Cup

Group G fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-15	Egypt	59.5%	25.8%	14.6%	Seattle (neutral)
06-21	Iran	53.4%	27.3%	19.4%	Los Angeles (neutral)
06-26	New Zealand	75.0%	20.0%	5.0%	Vancouver (neutral)

Belgium vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	7.9%	22.5%	69.6%
Argentina	2115	8.9%	23.1%	68.0%
France	2063	13.1%	25.3%	61.6%
England	2024	17.0%	26.6%	56.4%
Portugal	1989	20.9%	27.6%	51.5%
Colombia	1982	21.7%	27.8%	50.5%
Brazil	1978	22.2%	27.9%	49.9%
Netherlands	1944	26.5%	28.5%	45.0%
Germany	1939	27.2%	28.6%	44.3%
Norway	1914	30.6%	28.9%	40.6%
Croatia	1912	30.8%	28.9%	40.3%
Japan	1910	31.1%	28.9%	40.0%

Belgium vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Belgium in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Norway	1914	30.6%	28.9%	40.6%
Croatia	1912	30.8%	28.9%	40.3%
Japan	1910	31.1%	28.9%	40.0%
Ecuador	1890	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Mexico	1881	35.2%	29.0%	35.8%
Uruguay	1870	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Denmark	1869	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Italy	1869	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Switzerland	1865	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
Senegal	1860	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%