East Timor

East Timor holds a World Football Elo rating of 734, ranking #216 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. East Timor is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate East Timor's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

East Timor vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
France	2063	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
England	2024	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%

East Timor vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near East Timor in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Chagos Islands	782	28.8%	28.7%	42.5%
Tuvalu	756	32.4%	28.9%	38.7%
British Virgin Islands	743	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Sint Eustatius	737	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Laos	734	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Samoa	728	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%
Mongolia	726	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Saint Barthelemy	725	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Guam	706	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%
Wallis and Futuna	699	40.6%	28.9%	30.6%