Tuvalu

Tuvalu holds a World Football Elo rating of 756, ranking #212 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Tuvalu is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Tuvalu's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Tuvalu vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
France	2063	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
England	2024	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%

Tuvalu vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Tuvalu in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Taiwan	822	26.4%	28.5%	45.1%
Bonaire	817	27.0%	28.6%	44.4%
Maldives	801	29.2%	28.8%	42.1%
Cayman Islands	800	29.3%	28.8%	41.9%
Chagos Islands	782	31.8%	28.9%	39.3%
British Virgin Islands	743	37.4%	29.0%	33.6%
Sint Eustatius	737	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%
Laos	734	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%
East Timor	734	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%
Samoa	728	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%