Kenya

Kenya holds a World Football Elo rating of 1363, ranking #116 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. Kenya is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Kenya's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Kenya vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	2.4%	97.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	2.6%	97.4%
France	2063	0.0%	3.5%	96.5%
England	2024	0.0%	4.4%	95.6%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	5.3%	94.7%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	5.5%	94.5%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	5.6%	94.4%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	6.8%	93.2%
Germany	1939	0.0%	7.0%	93.0%
Norway	1914	0.0%	8.0%	92.0%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	8.1%	91.9%
Japan	1910	0.0%	8.2%	91.8%

Kenya vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Kenya in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Comoros	1374	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Armenia	1373	34.1%	29.0%	36.9%
Zimbabwe	1372	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Indonesia	1372	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Zambia	1371	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%
Estonia	1360	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Vietnam	1351	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%
Sudan	1350	37.4%	29.0%	33.6%
Reunion	1345	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%
El Salvador	1342	38.5%	28.9%	32.5%