Niue

Niue holds a World Football Elo rating of 496, ranking #240 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Niue is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Niue's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Niue vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
France	2063	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
England	2024	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Germany	1939	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Norway	1914	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Japan	1910	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Niue vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Niue in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Falkland Islands	571	25.2%	28.3%	46.5%
FS Micronesia	564	26.1%	28.5%	45.4%
Marshall Islands	559	26.8%	28.5%	44.7%
Kiribati	544	28.8%	28.7%	42.5%
Tonga	520	32.1%	28.9%	39.0%
Northern Mariana Islands	432	44.8%	28.5%	26.6%
Cocos Islands	422	46.3%	28.4%	25.3%
Palau	402	49.2%	28.0%	22.8%
Eastern Samoa	369	53.9%	27.2%	18.9%