San Marino

San Marino holds a World Football Elo rating of 825, ranking #206 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. San Marino is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate San Marino's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

San Marino vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
France	2063	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
England	2024	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.2%	99.8%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%

San Marino vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near San Marino in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Liechtenstein	895	25.8%	28.4%	45.7%
Nepal	893	26.1%	28.5%	45.4%
Cambodia	871	29.0%	28.8%	42.2%
Seychelles	853	31.5%	28.9%	39.6%
Sri Lanka	836	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Taiwan	822	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Bonaire	817	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Maldives	801	39.0%	28.9%	32.1%
Cayman Islands	800	39.1%	28.9%	31.9%
Chagos Islands	782	41.8%	28.8%	29.5%