Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka holds a World Football Elo rating of 836, ranking #205 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Sri Lanka is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Sri Lanka's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Sri Lanka vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
France	2063	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
England	2024	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.3%	99.7%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.3%	99.7%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.3%	99.7%

Sri Lanka vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Sri Lanka in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Antigua and Barbuda	895	27.3%	28.6%	44.1%
Liechtenstein	895	27.3%	28.6%	44.1%
Nepal	893	27.6%	28.6%	43.8%
Cambodia	871	30.6%	28.9%	40.6%
Seychelles	853	33.1%	29.0%	38.0%
San Marino	825	37.1%	29.0%	33.9%
Taiwan	822	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
Bonaire	817	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%
Maldives	801	40.6%	28.9%	30.6%
Cayman Islands	800	40.7%	28.8%	30.4%