Scotland

Scotland holds a World Football Elo rating of 1794, ranking #25 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, Scotland is drawn in Group C, facing Haiti, Morocco and Brazil. The tables below estimate Scotland's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Scotland at the 2026 World Cup

Group C fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-13	Haiti	70.5%	22.1%	7.4%	Boston (neutral)
06-19	Morocco	29.0%	28.8%	42.2%	Boston (neutral)
06-24	Brazil	13.1%	25.3%	61.6%	Miami (neutral)

Scotland vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	3.5%	18.3%	78.1%
Argentina	2115	4.1%	19.0%	76.9%
France	2063	6.7%	21.6%	71.7%
England	2024	9.3%	23.4%	67.3%
Portugal	1989	12.1%	24.8%	63.0%
Colombia	1982	12.8%	25.1%	62.1%
Brazil	1978	13.1%	25.3%	61.6%
Netherlands	1944	16.4%	26.5%	57.1%
Germany	1939	17.0%	26.6%	56.4%
Norway	1914	19.7%	27.3%	52.9%
Croatia	1912	19.9%	27.4%	52.7%
Japan	1910	20.2%	27.5%	52.4%

Scotland vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Scotland in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Senegal	1860	26.4%	28.5%	45.1%
Turkey	1849	27.8%	28.6%	43.5%
Morocco	1840	29.0%	28.8%	42.2%
Australia	1839	29.2%	28.8%	42.1%
Austria	1830	30.4%	28.8%	40.7%
South Korea	1786	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Paraguay	1780	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
Ukraine	1780	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
United States	1780	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
Algeria	1772	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%