Morocco

Morocco holds a World Football Elo rating of 1840, ranking #22 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, Morocco is drawn in Group C, facing Brazil, Scotland and Haiti. The tables below estimate Morocco's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Morocco at the 2026 World Cup

Group C fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-13	Brazil	17.7%	26.8%	55.5%	New York (neutral)
06-19	Scotland	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%	Boston (neutral)
06-24	Haiti	75.3%	19.9%	4.9%	Atlanta (neutral)

Morocco vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	5.6%	20.6%	73.8%
Argentina	2115	6.4%	21.3%	72.3%
France	2063	9.9%	23.7%	66.5%
England	2024	13.1%	25.3%	61.6%
Portugal	1989	16.5%	26.5%	57.0%
Colombia	1982	17.3%	26.7%	56.0%
Brazil	1978	17.7%	26.8%	55.5%
Netherlands	1944	21.6%	27.7%	50.7%
Germany	1939	22.2%	27.9%	49.9%
Norway	1914	25.3%	28.4%	46.3%
Croatia	1912	25.6%	28.4%	46.0%
Japan	1910	25.8%	28.4%	45.7%

Morocco vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Morocco in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Denmark	1869	31.4%	28.9%	39.7%
Italy	1869	31.4%	28.9%	39.7%
Switzerland	1865	31.9%	28.9%	39.1%
Senegal	1860	32.6%	29.0%	38.4%
Turkey	1849	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Australia	1839	35.6%	29.0%	35.4%
Austria	1830	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Scotland	1794	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%
South Korea	1786	43.4%	28.7%	28.0%
Paraguay	1780	44.3%	28.6%	27.2%