Haiti

Haiti holds a World Football Elo rating of 1536, ranking #76 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. At the 2026 World Cup, Haiti is drawn in Group C, facing Scotland, Brazil and Morocco. The tables below estimate Haiti's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Haiti at the 2026 World Cup

Group C fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-13	Scotland	7.4%	22.1%	70.5%	Boston (neutral)
06-19	Brazil	0.7%	13.1%	86.2%	Philadelphia (neutral)
06-24	Morocco	4.9%	19.9%	75.3%	Atlanta (neutral)

Haiti vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	6.4%	93.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	6.9%	93.1%
France	2063	0.0%	9.2%	90.8%
England	2024	0.2%	11.0%	88.8%
Portugal	1989	0.6%	12.5%	86.9%
Colombia	1982	0.7%	12.9%	86.4%
Brazil	1978	0.7%	13.1%	86.2%
Netherlands	1944	1.4%	14.7%	83.9%
Germany	1939	1.5%	14.9%	83.6%
Norway	1914	2.1%	16.2%	81.7%
Croatia	1912	2.2%	16.3%	81.6%
Japan	1910	2.2%	16.4%	81.4%

Haiti vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Haiti in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Honduras	1570	30.7%	28.9%	40.4%
Iceland	1568	31.0%	28.9%	40.2%
Angola	1542	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
United Arab Emirates	1540	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Finland	1536	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Burkina Faso	1529	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Jamaica	1527	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Belarus	1522	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
South Africa	1511	39.1%	28.9%	31.9%
Ghana	1510	39.3%	28.9%	31.8%