Finland

Finland holds a World Football Elo rating of 1536, ranking #75 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. Finland is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Finland's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Finland vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	6.4%	93.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	6.9%	93.1%
France	2063	0.0%	9.2%	90.8%
England	2024	0.2%	11.0%	88.8%
Portugal	1989	0.6%	12.5%	86.9%
Colombia	1982	0.7%	12.9%	86.4%
Brazil	1978	0.7%	13.1%	86.2%
Netherlands	1944	1.4%	14.7%	83.9%
Germany	1939	1.5%	14.9%	83.6%
Norway	1914	2.1%	16.2%	81.7%
Croatia	1912	2.2%	16.3%	81.6%
Japan	1910	2.2%	16.4%	81.4%

Finland vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Finland in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
New Zealand	1578	29.6%	28.8%	41.6%
Honduras	1570	30.7%	28.9%	40.4%
Iceland	1568	31.0%	28.9%	40.2%
Angola	1542	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
United Arab Emirates	1540	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Haiti	1536	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Burkina Faso	1529	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Jamaica	1527	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Belarus	1522	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
South Africa	1511	39.1%	28.9%	31.9%