Ivory Coast holds a World Football Elo rating of 1743, ranking #37 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Ivory Coast is drawn in Group E, facing Ecuador, Germany and Curaçao. The tables below estimate Ivory Coast's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group E fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 | Ecuador | 16.7% | 26.6% | 56.7% | Philadelphia (neutral) |
| 06-20 | Germany | 12.1% | 24.8% | 63.2% | Toronto (neutral) |
| 06-25 | Curaçao | 76.4% | 19.3% | 4.3% | Philadelphia (neutral) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 1.9% | 15.8% | 82.3% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 2.3% | 16.5% | 81.2% |
| France | 2063 | 4.1% | 19.1% | 76.8% |
| England | 2024 | 6.0% | 21.0% | 72.9% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 8.2% | 22.7% | 69.1% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 8.7% | 23.0% | 68.3% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 9.0% | 23.1% | 67.9% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 11.6% | 24.6% | 63.8% |
| Germany | 1939 | 12.1% | 24.8% | 63.2% |
| Norway | 1914 | 14.3% | 25.7% | 59.9% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 14.5% | 25.8% | 59.7% |
| Japan | 1910 | 14.7% | 25.9% | 59.4% |
Closely-matched opponents near Ivory Coast in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 1767 | 32.1% | 28.9% | 39.0% |
| Nigeria | 1767 | 32.1% | 28.9% | 39.0% |
| Iran | 1756 | 33.6% | 29.0% | 37.4% |
| Sweden | 1755 | 33.8% | 29.0% | 37.2% |
| Greece | 1744 | 35.4% | 29.0% | 35.6% |
| Serbia | 1734 | 36.8% | 29.0% | 34.2% |
| Venezuela | 1733 | 36.9% | 29.0% | 34.1% |
| Panama | 1730 | 37.4% | 29.0% | 33.6% |
| Chile | 1717 | 39.3% | 28.9% | 31.8% |
| Kosovo | 1715 | 39.6% | 28.9% | 31.5% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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