Canada

Canada holds a World Football Elo rating of 1767, ranking #32 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, Canada is drawn in Group B, facing Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar and Switzerland. The tables below estimate Canada's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Canada at the 2026 World Cup

Group B fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	69.7%	22.4%	7.9%	Toronto (home)
06-18	Qatar	84.8%	14.1%	1.1%	Vancouver (home)
06-24	Switzerland	35.8%	29.0%	35.2%	Vancouver (home)

Canada vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	2.6%	17.0%	80.4%
Argentina	2115	3.0%	17.7%	79.3%
France	2063	5.3%	20.3%	74.5%
England	2024	7.5%	22.1%	70.4%
Portugal	1989	9.9%	23.7%	66.4%
Colombia	1982	10.5%	24.0%	65.5%
Brazil	1978	10.8%	24.2%	65.0%
Netherlands	1944	13.8%	25.5%	60.7%
Germany	1939	14.2%	25.7%	60.1%
Norway	1914	16.7%	26.6%	56.7%
Croatia	1912	17.0%	26.6%	56.4%
Japan	1910	17.2%	26.7%	56.2%

Canada vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Canada in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Paraguay	1780	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
Ukraine	1780	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
United States	1780	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
Algeria	1772	34.8%	29.0%	36.2%
Russia	1772	34.8%	29.0%	36.2%
Nigeria	1767	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Iran	1756	37.1%	29.0%	33.9%
Sweden	1755	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%
Greece	1744	38.8%	28.9%	32.2%
Ivory Coast	1743	39.0%	28.9%	32.1%