Mali

Mali holds a World Football Elo rating of 1588, ranking #68 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. Mali is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Mali's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Mali vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	8.5%	91.5%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	9.2%	90.8%
France	2063	0.3%	11.5%	88.1%
England	2024	0.8%	13.3%	85.8%
Portugal	1989	1.5%	15.0%	83.4%
Colombia	1982	1.7%	15.4%	82.9%
Brazil	1978	1.8%	15.6%	82.6%
Netherlands	1944	2.8%	17.3%	79.9%
Germany	1939	2.9%	17.5%	79.5%
Norway	1914	3.9%	18.8%	77.3%
Croatia	1912	4.0%	18.9%	77.1%
Japan	1910	4.0%	19.0%	77.0%

Mali vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Mali in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Iraq	1607	32.8%	29.0%	38.3%
Cape Verde	1606	32.9%	29.0%	38.1%
Northern Ireland	1605	33.1%	29.0%	38.0%
Saudi Arabia	1598	34.1%	29.0%	36.9%
North Macedonia	1589	35.4%	29.0%	35.6%
Tunisia	1585	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
New Zealand	1578	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Honduras	1570	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%
Iceland	1568	38.4%	29.0%	32.6%
Angola	1542	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%