Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1598, ranking #66 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Saudi Arabia is drawn in Group H, facing Uruguay, Spain and Cape Verde. The tables below estimate Saudi Arabia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Saudi Arabia at the 2026 World Cup

Group H fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-15	Uruguay	6.6%	21.4%	72.0%	Miami (neutral)
06-21	Spain	0.0%	9.0%	91.0%	Atlanta (neutral)
06-26	Cape Verde	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%	Houston (neutral)

Saudi Arabia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	9.0%	91.0%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	9.7%	90.3%
France	2063	0.4%	12.0%	87.6%
England	2024	1.0%	13.8%	85.2%
Portugal	1989	1.8%	15.5%	82.7%
Colombia	1982	1.9%	15.9%	82.2%
Brazil	1978	2.0%	16.1%	81.9%
Netherlands	1944	3.1%	17.8%	79.1%
Germany	1939	3.3%	18.0%	78.7%
Norway	1914	4.3%	19.3%	76.4%
Croatia	1912	4.4%	19.4%	76.2%
Japan	1910	4.5%	19.5%	76.0%

Saudi Arabia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Saudi Arabia in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Cameroon	1614	33.2%	29.0%	37.8%
Costa Rica	1608	34.1%	29.0%	36.9%
Iraq	1607	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Cape Verde	1606	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%
Northern Ireland	1605	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
North Macedonia	1589	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Mali	1588	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Tunisia	1585	37.4%	29.0%	33.6%
New Zealand	1578	38.4%	29.0%	32.6%
Honduras	1570	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%