Russia

Russia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1772, ranking #31 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. Russia is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Russia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Elo rating
1772
World rank
#31
of
244

Russia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Spain21292.7%17.2%80.0%
Argentina21153.2%17.9%78.8%
France20635.5%20.5%74.0%
England20247.8%22.4%69.8%
Portugal198910.3%23.9%65.8%
Colombia198210.9%24.2%64.9%
Brazil197811.2%24.4%64.4%
Netherlands194414.2%25.7%60.1%
Germany193914.7%25.9%59.4%
Norway191417.3%26.7%56.0%
Croatia191217.5%26.8%55.7%
Japan191017.7%26.8%55.5%
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Russia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Russia in the rankings.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
South Korea178633.5%29.0%37.5%
Paraguay178034.4%29.0%36.7%
Ukraine178034.4%29.0%36.7%
United States178034.4%29.0%36.7%
Algeria177235.5%29.0%35.5%
Canada176736.2%29.0%34.8%
Nigeria176736.2%29.0%34.8%
Iran175637.8%29.0%33.2%
Sweden175538.0%29.0%33.1%
Greece174439.6%28.9%31.5%
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Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.

21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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