Algeria holds a World Football Elo rating of 1772, ranking #30 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, Algeria is drawn in Group J, facing Argentina, Jordan and Austria. The tables below estimate Algeria's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group J fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 | Argentina | 3.2% | 17.9% | 78.8% | Kansas City (neutral) |
| 06-22 | Jordan | 48.9% | 28.0% | 23.1% | San Francisco (neutral) |
| 06-27 | Austria | 27.4% | 28.6% | 44.0% | Kansas City (neutral) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 2.7% | 17.2% | 80.0% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 3.2% | 17.9% | 78.8% |
| France | 2063 | 5.5% | 20.5% | 74.0% |
| England | 2024 | 7.8% | 22.4% | 69.8% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 10.3% | 23.9% | 65.8% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 10.9% | 24.2% | 64.9% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 11.2% | 24.4% | 64.4% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 14.2% | 25.7% | 60.1% |
| Germany | 1939 | 14.7% | 25.9% | 59.4% |
| Norway | 1914 | 17.3% | 26.7% | 56.0% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 17.5% | 26.8% | 55.7% |
| Japan | 1910 | 17.7% | 26.8% | 55.5% |
Closely-matched opponents near Algeria in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | 1794 | 32.4% | 28.9% | 38.7% |
| South Korea | 1786 | 33.5% | 29.0% | 37.5% |
| Paraguay | 1780 | 34.4% | 29.0% | 36.7% |
| Ukraine | 1780 | 34.4% | 29.0% | 36.7% |
| United States | 1780 | 34.4% | 29.0% | 36.7% |
| Russia | 1772 | 35.5% | 29.0% | 35.5% |
| Canada | 1767 | 36.2% | 29.0% | 34.8% |
| Nigeria | 1767 | 36.2% | 29.0% | 34.8% |
| Iran | 1756 | 37.8% | 29.0% | 33.2% |
| Sweden | 1755 | 38.0% | 29.0% | 33.1% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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